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2026-05-05
Desiccated coconuts: conflict with lasting impact
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April 15, 2026 | Mundus Agri |

The Iran conflict is expected to have lasting impacts on the coconut industry, particularly in Southeast Asia. Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have increased oil, freight, and insurance costs, affecting supply chains and raising operational expenses for coconut processors and exporters.

Even if geopolitical tensions ease, recovery will take time due to delayed shipping, stranded vessels, and damaged infrastructure. The Philippines, heavily reliant on fuel imports, faces higher production costs for copra mills and drying facilities.

As a result, coconut product prices are likely to rise, although export prices have recently stabilized. Market trends vary by region, with relatively firm prices in Europe despite some fluctuations.

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